# Seer prediction markets forecasting Q3 2026 Coinholder Retroactive Grant approvals **URL:** \ **Category:** Retroactive Grants\ **Created:** [August 15, 2026, 2:27pm UTC](https://forum.zcashcommunity.com/t/seer-prediction-markets-forecasting-q3-2026-coinholder-retroactive-grant-approvals/57063 "2026-08-15T14:27:41Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 4
**Author:** ![vaspholdings](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/zcash/user_avatar/forum.zcashcommunity.com/vaspholdings/32/30024_2.png) [@vaspholdings](https://forum.zcashcommunity.com/u/vaspholdings)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2026, 12:23pm UTC](https://forum.zcashcommunity.com/t/seer-prediction-markets-forecasting-q3-2026-coinholder-retroactive-grant-approvals/57063/4 "2026-11-07T12:23:16Z")
@devanshmehta, can we get a postmortem on how the Q3 2026 SEER prediction markets performed? Back in November 2025, @frankbraun and I [discussed futarchy](https://forum.zcashcommunity.com/t/zcg-and-governance/53562/8), and I suggested prediction markets could provide a useful signal for ZCG grant decisions. Then an experiment along those lines **happened first with coinholder retroactive grants**! On reflection, that is a better place to start than ZCG, given the regular, binding coinholder votes on a published set of proposals. Did the prediction markets converge towards the actual results? Did trading improve on the initial AI forecasts? **I analysed the Q3 2026 retro grant vote** in my [_The Hand of God_](https://forum.zcashcommunity.com/t/the-hand-of-god-what-q3s-coinholder-retroactive-grants-vote-tells-us/57910) post, including the [Connaugh result](https://forum.zcashcommunity.com/t/the-hand-of-god-what-q3s-coinholder-retroactive-grants-vote-tells-us/57910/7) that was initially misclassified. Are you planning to run SEER again for Q4? I’d certainly like to see that happen. P.S. Good to see [SEER is MIT licensed](https://github.com/seer-pm/demo). Seems a shame if we don’t build upon this experiment. --- _[View the full topic](https://forum.zcashcommunity.com/t/seer-prediction-markets-forecasting-q3-2026-coinholder-retroactive-grant-approvals/57063)._