Ah! This answers a question that I had in my mind when I read your post up-thread saying that the 400K ZEC that participated in the coin-weighted petition was a small fraction of the total 15M ZEC that have ever been created. (That means 2.7% of all ZEC coins ever created participated in this petition.)
I was really surprised that you wrote that, and I figured that you were just weren’t thinking it through and applying the same analysis to the non-coin-based polls, since I believe the non-coin-based polls represent an even smaller percentage of the Zcash community than the coin-based petitions do.
But now I see that what’s really going on is that you and I have very different guesses about the size of the Zcash community.
I’m guessing that the number of people who know and care about Zcash, support its mission, think it is important, care about its future, and use, hold, or support it is somewhere between 100,000 and 10,000,000 people world-wide. If the truth is anywhere near there, then the number of people who participated in this round of non-coin-based polls (which was around 150 to 300 people) are between 0.3% and 0.0015% of the worldwide Zcash community.
It’s awfully hard to get solid quantitative data about the size of the Zcash community. Tatyana and I spent a lot of effort when we worked together at ECC trying to get quantitative data and we couldn’t figure out how to do it at a reasonable cost.
To come up with my own rough estimate, I’ve tried to look at all the quantitative data I can find — transactions on-chain, t-addresses, statistics disclosed by CEXes and wallet-makers, wallet downloads, view counts on media, posts on social media, etc, and I also try to pay attention to qualitative data.
Some of the qualitative data that comes to me (but probably not to the readers of the public discussion on this forum) is the constant stream of Zcashers coming out of the woodwork to talk to me, online and off, publicly and privately, about Zcash.
They usually have detailed stories about their personal journey to Zcash, and their hopes and fears for it. Many of them told me about how they used Zcash, and how they worked to support it.
Usually, of course, these people who I meet are part of the cryptocurrency industry, since that’s where I spend most of my time. They come up to me in person at a cryptocurrency conference or direct message me on Twitter. But not infrequently I meet Zcashers that have no connection to the cryptocurrency industry!
Sometimes when I’m socially chatting with a friend of a friend, or a stranger at a non-cryptocurrency-industry party, and I mention Zcash, their eyes light up. For example, recently I was having lunch with a friend (not part of the cryptocurrency industry), and she brought her husband (also not part of the cryptocurrency industry), and he didn’t know anything about who I was, but eventually the topic of Zcash came up, and her husband was like…
“Oh yeah, Zcash! My dad is all about Zcash! Several years ago he asked me about this ‘Bitcoin’ thing, and I mentioned to him that Zcash is the private version of Bitcoin and he was like ‘That. That’s the one.’ and he’s never looked back.”
I’ve probably met hundreds of people like that over the last few years. I figure, for me to meet hundreds of them, there must be a lot more out there that I’ve never had a chance to meet.
And there’s another fact that seems meaningful to me: out of all the hundreds of Zcashers I’ve talked to, fewer than ten of them have ever posted on this forum.