Since we’re talking about market valuations, I look at this from a very different perspective.
Before the move toward Proof of Stake, ETH was trading in the $100–200 range, with a bottom around $88 in 2020. During the PoS transition, it rallied to nearly $4,800 in roughly a year. That’s a ~50x move. It’s hard to argue that this wasn’t a strong market validation.
Bitcoin’s performance over the same period was roughly half as strong, still impressive, but largely driven by external narratives and, later, ETFs. That’s the price side. But what about the economics?
Ethereum appears to have largely solved its inflation problem. Thanks primarily to on-chain activity driven by tokens, it consistently processes around 2 million transactions per day. As a result, fee burns often exceed the net daily issuance, making ETH effectively deflationary at times.
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Bitcoin cannot claim the same. Its transaction activity is 4–5x lower, and fees currently make up less than 1% of block rewards after the fourth halving. Fee revenue is simply not sufficient to meaningfully support miners. This dynamic has been stagnating, largely because economic activity has shifted elsewhere, especially toward Ethereum.
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Miners have already been operating at or near breakeven for years. Issuance keeps declining. Time keeps moving forward.
It’s unclear why anyone assumes the future will simply be better by default, or that price growth alone will inevitably solve these structural issues as issuance declines and time runs out.
A similar comparison can be made with Litecoin, another Proof-of-Work chain. Its fourth halving is about a year and a half away, yet it still prices around the same levels it did in 2017. A solid PoW design and meaningful transaction activity did not guarantee long-term success or valuation growth.
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From my perspective, Ethereum is the first realistic candidate to overtake Bitcoin in market capitalization, and I believe this will happen relatively soon.



