How to distinguish zero from other characters?
Iāll tell you the secret
Zero has no cheekbones
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Donāt give me ālikeā. Itās sarcastic.
Great. A large number of full mask and half mask have been purchased for collection, which are also my two favorite attributes, because they are scarce enough and have high collection value.
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In terms of rarity rankings, Iāve seen rankings on three sites:
gem.xyz (Gem - The NFT Marketplace Aggregator)
uniq.cx (Uniq.cx)
nft-stats.com (Cypherpunk Zero Rarity Explorer | NFT Stats)
All three rankings vary wildly! An NFT that ranks high on one can rank low on another.
Does anyone know which one is accurate?
The nft-stats.com ranking only shows about 2700 NFTs being in circulation, so we can cross that one off as most likely incorrect.
Does anyone know of any other site providing rarity rankings in addition to these 3?
My gut is the gem.xyz ranking is the accurate one, but I donāt know for sure.
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Each platform have their own way to calculate rarity of a collection. I donāt believe one is more accurate that the other in this case.
Personally, I have preferred to value each item based on my own taste compared to some hard numbers.
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I feel like it should be possible to calculate true rarity based on the percentage of each different characteristic, and it would be the same rating no matter who does it, a ātrueā rating, no?
If I could code Iād write a program to do it, but I donāt feel like hand calculating 10,000 different NFTs using Cypherpunk Zero NFT Rarity Matrix
But rarity rankings shouldnāt differ, itās based off how many out of the 10,000 have each characteristic, and then just combine that
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I donāt think ranking on informal sites means much
When a cartoon comes out, there will be an nft that people want to have more depending on the story. Like short white hair
After the minimum price goes up a lot,
Is the price of a rare item worth two to three times the lowest price?
I donāt think so.
Itās much better to buy a lot of the lowest price nft now
How the market decides pricing is separate from rarity, and you make a good point.
But from the point of rarity alone, since the project has released how many NFTs have each characteristic, ranking rarity should be straight forward and objective, not subjective.
Itās just math. Whatās the percent chance each NFT ended up with the stack of characteristics it has? The lowest number is the most rare, and so on
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For example, NFT# 16 is ranked #1 in rarity by gem.xyz.
It has the following characteristics (and Iāll also put the percent of the 10,000 NFTs that have that characteristic):
Spirit: kinakuta flag (2.02%)
Bonus: golden hand (14.49%)
Background: megacorp hq (5.76%)
Half Mask: respirator (0.28%)
Facial Features: none (49.77%)
Hat: none (82.77%)
Sidekick: zebra (6.23%)
Character Type: zero (2.94%)
Clothes: plain tee (16.00%)
Eyewear: none (36.86%)
Hair: none (40.65%)
Helmet: none (97.31%)
Full Mask: none (96.00%)
Jewelry: none (55.01%)
Mouth: none (46.84%).
This means that the chance of this NFT having all these characteristics is:
0.0202 * 0.1449 * 0.0576 * 0.0028 * 0.4977 * 0.8277 * 0.0623 * 0.0294 * 0.1600 * 0.3686 * 0.4065 * 0.9731 * 0.9600 * 0.5501 * 0.4684 =
0.000000000002055 or 0.0000000002055% chance of occurring.
Which is obviously extremely unlikely, or rare.
Whereas the NFT# 535 is ranked #9900 in rarity on gem.xyz and has these characteristics:
Facial Features: none (49.77%)
Sidekick: none (31.49%)
Bonus: none (39.69%)
Background: generic (46.87%)
Spirit: none (33.66%)
Helmet: none (97.31%)
Eyewear: none (36.86%)
Hair: none (40.65%)
Hat: none (82.77%)
Clothes: rescursion tee (17.99%)
Full mask: none (96.00%)
Character Type: young cypherpunk (36.99%)
Jewelry: none (55.01%)
Mouth: none (46.84%)
Half Mask: none (97.00%)
This means that the chance of this NFT having all these characteristics is:
0.4977 * 0.3149 * 0.3969 * 0.4687 * 0.3366* 0.9731 * 0.3686 * 0.4065 * 0.8277 * 0.1799 * 0.9600 * 0.3699 * 0.5501 * 0.4684 * 0.9700 =
0.00001891 or 0.001891% chance of occurring.
Clearly, one NFT is more rare than the other.
I could hand calculate all 10,000 NFTs and make a rarity list for you, but that would take forever.
If someone whipped together a quick program that would do it automatically, that would be the ātrueā rarity rankings.
My gut is gem.xyz is correct (or at least the closest to correctāthey donāt have all 10,000 NFTs listed for some reason which may mess up the rankings a bit). But Iām not vouching for their rarity list, it is just my gut feeling.
I could do some random checking by hand for some NFTs and see how the lists online match up, but I donāt feel like doing that at the moment. If I end up doing it Iāll update in this thread.
But my point is, rarity rankings are objective, they are not subjective at all! Itās just a measurement of how rare the combination of different characteristics are.
Correctly done rarity rankings will not vary by website. If they do, one or both of them are wrong. It is statistics, not opinions.
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Your analysis is too complicated. You just need to choose the CZNFT that you like and is popular with the market to invest.
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No matter where the website is ranked, I will only choose my favorite elements to invest in it, because I believe that their future value will be infinite.
The yellow small square on the face is very unique, perhaps the creator hand slippery 
Itās part of āCircuit Boardā trait I believe
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Youāre missing my point.
Iāve said nothing about price and how rarity affects that (although I do have my own opinions on that).
All Iām saying is that rarity rankings are objective, and based on simple math.
Rarity rankings are not subjective as many people have been saying.
In terms of how rarity affects pricing, people will have different subjective opinions about that.
In terms of rarity alone, that is objective.
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Fact: There is no official rarity check / tool.
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There should be though, all someone would need to do is multiply the percent chance of each characteristic (as I demonstrated above), and then rank them from smallest number to largest number, with the smallest being the most rare.
That would take forever for me to do by hand, but anyone who knows how to code could easily do this, wouldnāt even take a day.
Itās just probability of each NFT getting the combination of characteristics it has, with the smallest probability being the most rare.
Yeah youāre probably right, I know how to calculate rarity rankings (as Iāve explained), Iām just not computer literate enough to write a program to do all 10,000 for me.
If someone knows how to write a program, I can explain what the program would need to do to calculate the rankings! You should post here if you can do that!
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I can write the program however we would need a spreadsheet with the NFTs and their traits.
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Just bought this Cypherpunk from the floor, estatics are awesome!
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That would be awesome!! Thanks for joining in.
Would it be possible to scrape the traits from opensea? Or gem.xyz?
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