How would I go about finding the probability of finding a block in 4 days with 32k sol/s?

## I found this post on finding out for bitcoin:

difficulty (d) = 43160562 Sol/s

your hash rate (s) = 235

block time (b) = 2 minutes

( 1/s/d * b ) / 60 = # of hours to find a block

## P(b) = s/d = 235/43160562 = 0.00000544478545

1/0.00000544478545 = 183661.965964 blocks

183661.96596415015765 * 2 = 367323.931928 / 60 = 6122.06 hours or 255 days.

Would the same logic apply to zcash?

These would be the zcash stats today…

d= 6,517,000

s= 32,000

b= 2.5 minutes(edited)

If I do the same math applied to Zcash I get 8.4 hours a block with 32,000 sols/s

does that sound right?

And does finding a block mean getting the payout or is there such as mining empty blocks?..